Monday, October 25, 2010

Trading and stock markets predictions for next years. Where are stocks headed? A false rally?

Dow in 1929 stock market crash felt 52% (381 to 198) then recover to 77% of the initial value (294) all during the whole of 1930, after it, it crashed again to even lower values, in 1931-1935.

Dow in 2008 stock market meltdown felt 51% (13930 to 7062) and during the whole of 2009 it recovered now 70% of the initial value.
So, if history repeats the
Dow will still recover and soar until around 10700 somewhere before early 2010 after which they would crash again, to values well below 7000, in the years 2010-2014.

Either it rallies to 10700 by next spring crashing by the fall 2010 and then going always downwards, or it maybe goes down this fall, rallies next spring and goes downwards next summer. Whatever happens, it should rise around early-mid 2010 due to Jupiter-Uranus.

In late 1931, the Dow crashed into 116, and then to Dow 41 in mid 1932.
This would be the equivalent of Dow 4200 in early 2011, and Dow 1500 in mid 2011!

The worst years of the Great Depression were 1931, 1932 and 1933.
Dow recovers then to 194 by 1937, as slowly the Great depression comes gradually into to an end. Therefore, if history repeats (and it never repeats exactly!), the worst years are 2011, 2012 and 2013, the Second Great Depression, after which the economy recovers gradually around 2016 with Dow 7000.

Following the trend, unemployment will be very high with much social unrest in the next few years. The 2020s would be then a recovery to values around Dow 20000-30000, by 2030, and a whole new (probably green sustainable) economy. The Uranus/Neptune/Pluto aspects in 2029 reinforces this time of great expansion!

Now, we get into short-term astrology. In this fall, configurations are difficult, Saturn/Pluto in October-November does not look good, but the Jupiter/Neptune in December looks good.
In 2010 (May-December), Uranus enters Aries and conjuncted with Jupiter. This occurred also in 1927 when the market bubble expanded. This look very energetic, and perhaps positive. Perhaps the markets recover much again next year? Perhaps, like the housing and credit crunch, this is a new and bigger bubble bursting. In July-September 2010, the configuration seems very dramatic, bit Jupiter-Uranus looks expansive. However, in early 2011 Jupiter moves into Aries, as it was in 1929 or 1987.

I can say the bad word: 2010 may bring HYPERINFLATION or war followed by HUGE OIL PRICES. If so, then a crash happens afterwards by late 2010 or early 2011 just as we enter oficially into Great Depression II, in 2012-2014.

2010-2011 resembles 1931-1932, the years of the Great Depression, when Saturn, Uranus and Pluto created a T-square in cardinal signs. However, the order of the signs is different. Uranus is still in Aries, but Saturn is in Libra instead of Capricorn, and Pluto is in Capricorn instead of Cancer.

With Uranus is in Aries (such as 1760s, 1840s) the problem is not so much the economy as it is social unrest and great agitation. However, the economy can suffer greatly as the dramatic european famines in 1840s or the great depression in 1930s!
Saturn in Libra (1980, 1950, 1920, 1890, 1860) tends to bring the recovery of economy, a change of geopolitical landscape. Therefore, the following years will bring probably dramatic transformation and eventually a huge crises in resources, unemployment, food, environment, energy and money, identical to the Great Depression (2011-2015), but the economic system will later transform and even expand about one decade from now.

And now I say the good word. 2026-2030 brings strong economic and social prosperity and a big wave of revolution and technological advance.


No comments:

Post a Comment